Will Satya Nadella say “Copilot”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Satya Nadella said “Copilot” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=1, from prior), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Oct 28, 2025), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only). No keynotes among them yet.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Oct 28, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 79¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Satya Nadella
Copilot
- Probability
- 41% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 1 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
7 counted; 18 by speakers the rule does not count.
Is when I first saw GitHub Copilot. Sure. And I said, man, this is what?
…is even in when I see m three Microsoft three six five Copilot, man, the amount just like right now, the number of repos on…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Copilot |  Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How often does Satya Nadella say “Copilot”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Satya Nadella said “Copilot” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 29, 2025.
- What is the probability Satya Nadella says “Copilot” next time?
- 41%, from the model (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Satya Nadella: ‘Copilot’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/satya-nadella/words/copilot (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=satya-nadella&word=copilot · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=satya-nadella&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP