Will David Ellison say “Harry Potter”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on David Ellison saying “Harry Potter” has settled yet.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Mar 27, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
50%base rate for a new wordNext: Keynote, Nov 18, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 18¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
David Ellison
Harry Potter
- Probability
- 50% · prior
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Questions
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “David Ellison: ‘Harry Potter’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/david-ellison/words/harry-potter (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=david-ellison&word=harry%20potter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=david-ellison&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP