Will Vlad Tenev say “Social”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Social” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 49¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Social
- Probability
- 53% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 4 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
8 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Abashek, please hurry. Anna, how soon can you activate Robin Hood social?
…you directly to Legend, making Legend the only protrading platform with verified social signals built right into your workflow. Let me show you. I've got…
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted.
…but that's that's a great idea though. Maybe one day, you know, with Robinhood for families and Robinhood social coming together, something could work out.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Social”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Social” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Social” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Social’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/social (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=social · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP