Will Vlad Tenev say “Sport”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Sport” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 57¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Sport
- Probability
- 63% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
8 counted; 10 by speakers the rule does not count.
…one of over 1,500 prediction markets live on Robin Hood today. Across sports, entertainment, and world affairs. In less than a year, there have already…
…most popular category of prediction markets on Robin Hood. Any guesses? Exactly. Sports. Well, we've been cooking especially hard on sports for our sports fans.…
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…Super Bowl, which we had to pull back, but then we relaunched sports with March Madness, and it's just been on a tear ever since.…
…wanna know about what's happening or what's likely to happen with a sports event or a political event or an election, you're going to those…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Sport”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Sport” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 7, 2025 (100%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Sport” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Sport’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/sport (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=sport · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP