Will Vlad Tenev say “Option”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Option” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 9, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 keynotes, 1 episode; Nov 6, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 panels have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 34¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Option
- Probability
- 75% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 4 transcripts
- said in 3 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 14 by speakers the rule does not count.
More than a third increase in your options trading hours. Just one more reason why you'd be at a disadvantage trading anywhere other than Robin…
…and we use that as signal. Then we wanted to filter those stocks for technical momentum like unusual bullish options volume or a golden crossover.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Option / Options |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Option | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Option”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Option” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 9, 2025 (100%), most recently on Sep 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Option” next time?
- 75%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Option’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/option (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=option · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP