Will “EU / European Union” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “EU / European Union” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 29¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
EU / European Union
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 2 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
We have ahead of us a UK-EU summit on 20 November. It is an opportunity for the House to come together and get a good…
…problems for British steel. As he will know, we are approaching a UK-EU summit in the next couple of months. It is imperative, I believe,…
…the fact that, because the usual frameworks would not work—the UN; the EU, which was blocked by Hungary; and NATO, which Ukraine is not in—we…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to support Ukraine, strengthened the NATO alliance, built stronger partnerships with the EU and kept us out of the war in Iran. I thank my…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…advise the right hon. Member for Makerfield (Andy Burnham) to put his EU red lines in the past and to adopt our plan for a…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | EU / European Union |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “EU / European Union” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “EU / European Union” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “EU / European Union” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘EU / European Union’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/eu-or-european-union (CC BY 4.0)
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