Will “Ukraine” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ukraine” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 17 of 32 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 11, 2025 (53%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=32, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4 of them.

62%from settlement history only · n=32Next: PMQs, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=ukraine

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Prime Minister's Questions

Ukraine

Probability
62% · n=32
Settled
17/32 (53%)
Last 8 PMQs
said in 4 of 4 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · not listed

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What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Andy BurnhamspeakerqaIn transcript

…We have taken the strongest possible stance in supporting President Zelensky and Ukraine. We are playing our role around the world, and we will continue…

What will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions? · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Andy BurnhamspeakerqaIn transcript

…that attack by Russia, and complete solidarity to support both Germany and Ukraine, and that position will not change. That takes me to defence. The…

Andy BurnhamspeakerqaIn transcript

…and I have done so for a considerable time. I was in Ukraine last week for a very specific reason: to repeat it on the…

What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · settled yes

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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 32 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 10, 2026UkrainePolymarketYes–
Sep 9, 2026UkraineKalshiYes1
Sep 2, 2026UkraineKalshiYes2
Aug 26, 2026UkrainePolymarketYes–
Jun 17, 2026UkraineKalshiYes1
Jun 10, 2026UkrainePolymarketYes–
Jun 10, 2026UkraineKalshiYes4
Jun 4, 2026UkrainePolymarketNo–
Jun 3, 2026UkraineKalshiNo0
May 20, 2026UkrainePolymarketYes4
May 20, 2026UkraineKalshiYes4
Apr 29, 2026UkrainePolymarketNo–
Apr 29, 2026UkraineKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2026UkrainePolymarketNo–
Apr 22, 2026UkraineKalshiNo0
Apr 15, 2026UkraineKalshiNo0
Mar 25, 2026UkraineKalshiYes1
Mar 18, 2026UkraineKalshiYes1
Mar 11, 2026UkraineKalshiYes1
Feb 19, 2026UkraineKalshiNo–
Feb 12, 2026UkraineKalshiNo0
Feb 11, 2026UkrainePolymarketNo–
Feb 5, 2026UkraineKalshiNo0
Jan 29, 2026UkraineKalshiNo–
Jan 29, 2026UkraineKalshiNo0
Jan 28, 2026UkrainePolymarketNo–
Jan 22, 2026UkraineKalshiYes2
Jan 15, 2026UkraineKalshiYes1
Jan 14, 2026UkrainePolymarketYes–
Jan 8, 2026UkraineKalshiYes13
Dec 18, 2025UkraineKalshiNo0
Dec 11, 2025UkraineKalshiYes6

Questions

How often is “Ukraine” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Ukraine” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 17 of 32 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Dec 11, 2025 (53%), most recently on Sep 9, 2026.
What is the probability “Ukraine” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
62%, from settlement history (n=32). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Ukraine’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/ukraine (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=ukraine · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP