Will “Energy” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Energy” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 6 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 55% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2 of them.
- Last 10
- 6/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 65¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Energy
- Probability
- 55% · n=9
- Settled
- 6/9 (67%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 2 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A); 6 by speakers the rule does not count.
…assurance. Our local power plan, backed by £1 billion from Great British Energy, is ensuring that every community in the country, including her constituents in…
In the coming weeks, energy bills will rise again for households across the United Kingdom; within the last few days, five major mortgage lenders have…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Energy |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Energy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Energy |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Energy | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 10 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Energy | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often is “Energy” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Energy” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 6 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 11, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Energy” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 55%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Energy’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/energy (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=energy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP