Will Benjamin Netanyahu say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu said “Nuclear” at 8 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 26, 2025 (89%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 8/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceBenjamin Netanyahu
Nuclear
- Probability
- 56% · n=9
- Settled
- 8/9 (89%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Benjamin Netanyahu yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 10 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Nuclear | No | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Nuclear | Yes | |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Nuclear | Yes | |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Nuclear | Yes | |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Nuclear | Yes | |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Nuclear | Yes | |
| May 10, 2026 | Nuclear | Yes | |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Nuclear | Yes | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Nuclear | Yes | |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Nuclear | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Benjamin Netanyahu say “Nuclear”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu said “Nuclear” at 8 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 26, 2025 (89%), most recently on Sep 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Benjamin Netanyahu says “Nuclear” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Benjamin Netanyahu: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/benjamin-netanyahu/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP