Will “Mr Speaker” be said 30+ times at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Mr Speaker” was said 30+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 6 of 13 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (46%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 73¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Mr Speaker 30+ times
- Probability
- 48% · n=13
- Settled
- 6/13 (46%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…I am very happy for everything to be set out in full, Mr Speaker. That is why I asked the Greater Manchester combined authority, in…
I thank you, Mr Speaker, and the Prime Minister for the words about Sir David Amess. We on this side of the House miss him…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Mr Speaker 30+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Mr Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Mr Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| May 20, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ | Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Mr. Speaker 30+ | Polymarket | No |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Mr. Speaker 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Mr Speaker 30+ times” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Mr Speaker” was said 30+ times at the Prime Minister's Questions on 6 of 13 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 19, 2025 (46%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Mr Speaker 30+ times” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Mr Speaker 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/mr-speaker-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=mr%20speaker%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP