Will Benjamin Netanyahu say “Ceasefire”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu said “Ceasefire” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 26, 2025 (38%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

30%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=ceasefire

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ceasefire

Probability
30% · n=8
Settled
3/8 (38%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Benjamin Netanyahu yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Netanyahu say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled no

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What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly? · settled no

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What will Netanyahu say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled no

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What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures? · settled no

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What will Netanyahu say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · settled yes

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What will Netanyahu say during 60 Minutes? · settled yes

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What will Netanyahu say during his NewsMax interview? · settled no

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What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during his Fox News interview? · not listed

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What will Netanyahu say during his address to the United Nations General Assembly? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 30, 2026CeasefireKalshiNo
Sep 24, 2026CeasefirePolymarketNo
Sep 24, 2026CeasefireKalshiNo
Jul 28, 2026CeasefireKalshiNo
Jul 19, 2026CeasefireKalshiNo
Jun 3, 2026CeasefireKalshiYes
May 10, 2026CeasefireKalshiYes
Mar 30, 2026CeasefireKalshiNo
Sep 26, 2025CeasefireKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Benjamin Netanyahu say “Ceasefire”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu said “Ceasefire” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 26, 2025 (38%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026.
What is the probability Benjamin Netanyahu says “Ceasefire” next time?
30%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Benjamin Netanyahu: ‘Ceasefire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/benjamin-netanyahu/words/ceasefire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=ceasefire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP