Will Benjamin Netanyahu say “Lebanon”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu said “Lebanon” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 26, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Benjamin Netanyahu
Lebanon
- Probability
- 34% · n=8
- Settled
- 4/8 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Benjamin Netanyahu yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Benjamin Netanyahu say “Lebanon”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu said “Lebanon” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 26, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Benjamin Netanyahu says “Lebanon” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Benjamin Netanyahu: ‘Lebanon’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/benjamin-netanyahu/words/lebanon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=lebanon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=benjamin-netanyahu&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP