Will Mark Rutte say “Drone”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Drone” at 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 24, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

In the one transcript we have (1 episode; Sep 24, 2026), since fewer than 2 episodes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

71%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Rutte

Drone

Probability
71% · n=8
Settled
6/8 (75%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 0 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: America Reports? · not said

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What will Mark Rutte say during his press conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Rutte say during his Atlantic Council conversation? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Rutte say during Fox News: Special Report? · settled no

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What will Mark Rutte say during his Press Conference? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Mark Rutte say during his NATO Press Conference? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during his press conference? · settled yes

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What will Mark Rutte say during his address? · settled yes

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What will Mark Rutte say during his Fox News Interview? · not listed

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What will Mark Rutte say during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 24, 2026DroneKalshiNo0
Jul 8, 2026DroneKalshiYes–
Jun 25, 2026DroneKalshiYes–
Jun 23, 2026DroneKalshiNo–
Jun 18, 2026DroneKalshiYes–
Apr 16, 2026DronePolymarketYes–
Apr 9, 2026DronePolymarketYes–
Jun 24, 2025DronePolymarketYes–

Questions

How often does Mark Rutte say “Drone”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Rutte said “Drone” at 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 24, 2025 (75%), most recently on Jul 8, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Rutte says “Drone” next time?
71%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Rutte: ‘Drone’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/mark-rutte/words/drone (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-rutte&word=drone · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-rutte&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP