Andy Burnham
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 15 word markets on Andy Burnham’s appearances since 2026, on 15 different words.
History Wall
1–15 of 15, most settled first| Word | Sep 22latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| China / Chinese | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Climate | Settled yes: Climate, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Energy | Settled yes: Energy, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza | Settled yes: Palestine / Palestinian / Gaza, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| NATO | Settled yes: NATO, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Russia / Russian | Settled yes: Russia / Russian, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Settled yes: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Sep 22 debate | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Argentina | Settled no: Argentina, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Settled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Nuclear | Settled no: Nuclear, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Reform | Settled no: Reform, Sep 22 debate | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | DebateWhat will Andy Burnham say during his United Nations address? | no transcript | 16 | 11 yes · 5 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Andy Burnham: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/andy-burnham (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/andy-burnham · words: /api/v1/history?entity=andy-burnham · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP