Will “Ukraine / Ukrainian” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Ukraine / Ukrainian” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 16, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4 of them.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 81¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Ukraine / Ukrainian
- Probability
- 67% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 4 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…welcoming President Zelensky to Downing Street later this afternoon. Our support for Ukraine is unwavering. I have asked for further military and financial support to…
…parties in this House. On the question about what is happening in Ukraine, obviously I am looking very much now at my meeting with President…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Ukraine / Ukrainian” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Ukraine / Ukrainian” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 16, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Ukraine / Ukrainian” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 67%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Ukraine / Ukrainian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/ukraine-or-ukrainian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=ukraine%20%2F%20ukrainian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP