Will “NHS” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “NHS” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 9 of 13 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (69%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 33¢ Polymarket (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
NHS
- Probability
- 44% · n=13
- Settled
- 9/13 (69%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Q14. Waits for NHS mental health care are far too long. Our constituents are 200 times more likely to wait 18 months for help with…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…done that. We pulled the levers to strengthen our public services and NHS waiting lists are coming down at the fastest rate for 17 years.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…bringing down violent crime. Their record is millions of people stuck on NHS waiting lists; our record is cutting NHS waiting lists at the fastest…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…and strengthen our international leadership. Sunday marks the 78th birthday of the NHS, and I am pleased that under this Government, waiting lists are down,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…drive research into rare cancers. Thanks to our record investment in the NHS, we have the shortest waits for cancer diagnosis on record. He will…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | NHS |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Oct 14, 2026 | NHS | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | NHS | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 10, 2026 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jun 4, 2026 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| May 20, 2026 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 15, 2026 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Dec 24, 2025 | NHS | Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 17, 2025 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 10, 2025 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Dec 3, 2025 | NHS | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “NHS” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “NHS” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 9 of 13 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Dec 3, 2025 (69%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “NHS” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘NHS’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/nhs (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=nhs · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP