Reza Pahlavi

World · Middle EastPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 14:53 UTC

Export

Copy

---

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnarOpen as Markdowntable

GET /api/v1/entity/reza-pahlavi

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 50 word markets on Reza Pahlavi’s appearances since 2026, on 21 different words.

History Wall

1–22 of 22, most settled first

Reza Pahlavi: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Mar 2episode	Mar 9episode	Mar 14interview	Mar 28latest	Last 4	Settled	Probability
Transition / Transitionalevery time	YSettled yes: Transition / Transitional, Mar 2 episode	YSettled yes: Transition / Transitional, Mar 9 episode	YSettled yes: Transition / Transitional, Mar 14 interview	YSettled yes: Transition / Transitional, Mar 28 panel	4/4100%	4/4100%	55%n=2 from settlement history
Democracy	YSettled yes: Democracy, Mar 2 episode	YSettled yes: Democracy, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Democracy, Mar 14 interview	YSettled yes: Democracy, Mar 28 panel	3/475%	3/475%	52%n=2 from settlement history
Israel / Israeli	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Mar 2 episode	NSettled no: Israel / Israeli, Mar 9 episode	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Mar 14 interview	YSettled yes: Israel / Israeli, Mar 28 panel	3/475%	3/475%	55%n=2 from settlement history
Nuclear	YSettled yes: Nuclear, Mar 2 episode	YSettled yes: Nuclear, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Nuclear, Mar 14 interview	YSettled yes: Nuclear, Mar 28 panel	3/475%	3/475%	52%n=2 from settlement history
Peace / Peaceful	NSettled no: Peace / Peaceful, Mar 2 episode	YSettled yes: Peace / Peaceful, Mar 9 episode	YSettled yes: Peace / Peaceful, Mar 14 interview	YSettled yes: Peace / Peaceful, Mar 28 panel	3/475%	3/475%	55%n=2 from settlement history
Protest / Protester	NSettled no: Protest / Protester, Mar 2 episode	NSettled no: Protest / Protester, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Protest / Protester, Mar 14 interview	YSettled yes: Protest / Protester, Mar 28 panel	1/425%	1/425%	52%n=2 from settlement history
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, Mar 2 episode	YSettled yes: Trump, Mar 9 episode	YSettled yes: Trump, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Trump, Mar 28 panel	3/3100%	3/3100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Freedom	YSettled yes: Freedom, Mar 2 episode	YSettled yes: Freedom, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Freedom, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Freedom, Mar 28 panel	2/367%	2/367%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Iraq / Iraqi	NSettled no: Iraq / Iraqi, Mar 2 episode	YSettled yes: Iraq / Iraqi, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Iraq / Iraqi, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Iraq / Iraqi, Mar 28 panel	1/333%	1/333%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Bibi / Netanyahu	NSettled no: Bibi / Netanyahu, Mar 2 episode	NSettled no: Bibi / Netanyahu, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Bibi / Netanyahu, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Bibi / Netanyahu, Mar 28 panel	0/30%	0/30%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Ayatollah / Khamenei	–Not listed: Ayatollah / Khamenei, Mar 2 episode	NSettled no: Ayatollah / Khamenei, Mar 9 episode	YSettled yes: Ayatollah / Khamenei, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Ayatollah / Khamenei, Mar 28 panel	1/250%	1/250%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Hormuz	–Not listed: Hormuz, Mar 2 episode	NSettled no: Hormuz, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Hormuz, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Hormuz, Mar 28 panel	0/20%	0/20%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Economy / Economic	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Mar 9 episode	YSettled yes: Economy / Economic, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Mar 28 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Revolution	YSettled yes: Revolution, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Revolution, Mar 9 episode	–Not listed: Revolution, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Revolution, Mar 28 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–
Terrorist / Terrorism	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 9 episode	–Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 14 interview	YSettled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 28 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump3+ times	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 9 episode	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 14 interview	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Mar 28 panel	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 9 episode	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 14 interview	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 28 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Immigrant / Immigration	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 9 episode	–Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 14 interview	NSettled no: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 28 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
UN / United Nations / NATO	NSettled no: UN / United Nations / NATO, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: UN / United Nations / NATO, Mar 9 episode	–Not listed: UN / United Nations / NATO, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: UN / United Nations / NATO, Mar 28 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–
Oil	–Not listed: Oil, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Oil, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Oil, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Oil, Mar 28 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Supreme Leader	–Not listed: Supreme Leader, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Supreme Leader, Mar 9 episode	–Not listed: Supreme Leader, Mar 14 interview	NSettled no: Supreme Leader, Mar 28 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tomahawk	–Not listed: Tomahawk, Mar 2 episode	–Not listed: Tomahawk, Mar 9 episode	NSettled no: Tomahawk, Mar 14 interview	–Not listed: Tomahawk, Mar 28 panel	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Reza Pahlavi: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/reza-pahlavi (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/reza-pahlavi · words: /api/v1/history?entity=reza-pahlavi · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP