Will Bernie Sanders say “Bernie”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Bernie” at 18 of 39 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 1, 2025 (46%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=39, from settlement history), not a forecast.

52%from settlement history only · n=39counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=bernie

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Bernie

Probability
52% · n=39
Settled
18/39 (46%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 41 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026BernieKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Oct 18, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Oct 5, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Oct 4, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Oct 3, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Aug 29, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Aug 28, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Aug 3, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Aug 2, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Jul 26, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Jul 20, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Jul 19, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Jul 19, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Jul 18, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Jun 18, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Jun 8, 2026BernieKalshiYes
May 25, 2026BerniePolymarketYes
May 25, 2026BernieKalshiYes
May 24, 2026BernieKalshiYes
May 3, 2026BernieKalshiYes
May 2, 2026BernieKalshiYes
May 1, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Apr 20, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Apr 14, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Apr 12, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Mar 29, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Mar 28, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Feb 21, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Feb 19, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Feb 14, 2026BernieKalshiYes
Feb 13, 2026BernieKalshiNo
Oct 26, 2025BerniePolymarketNo
Oct 15, 2025BerniePolymarketNo
Sep 1, 2025BerniePolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Bernie”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Bernie” at 18 of 39 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 1, 2025 (46%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Bernie” next time?
52%, from settlement history (n=39). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Bernie’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/bernie (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=bernie · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP