Bernie Sanders: Remarks, Aug 28, 2026

Fri, Aug 28RemarksHistory onlyBernie Sanders

Updated

Markets

16 words · 10 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Healthcare Yes83%n=14 from settlement history–
Democracy Yes74%n=5 from settlement history–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes72%n=23 from settlement history–
Election Yes72%n=13 from settlement history–
Billionaire Yes71%n=9 from settlement history–
Trump Yes71%n=15 from settlement history–
Corrupt / Corruption Yes62%n=30 from settlement history–
Supreme Court Yes58%n=3 from settlement history–
Civil Rights Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Immigrant / Immigration Yes29%n=13 from settlement history–
Working Class No62%n=7 from settlement history–
Martin Luther King / MLK No–new new word, no probability yet–
Middle Class No52%n=7 from settlement history–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline No49%n=23 from settlement history–
Social Security No46%n=16 from settlement history–
Bernie No42%n=28 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26AUG28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP