Bernie Sanders: Speech, Jun 27, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie Sanders say during the Texas Democratic Convention?
Markets
17 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 76%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 71%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 71%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Vermont / Vermonter | Yes | 65%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 54%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 52%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | Yes | 50%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Trillionaire | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 31%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 73%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 59%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Tuition | No | 50%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | No | 47%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 39%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | No | 27%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 26%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26JUN27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP