Bernie Sanders: Remarks, Feb 21, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during his Stanford townhall
Markets
20 words · 16 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | Yes | 69%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tuition | Yes | 67%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | Yes | 66%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Authoritarian / Authoritarianism | Yes | 63%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 3+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bezos | Yes | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | Yes | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | Yes | 41%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Middle Class | Yes | 39%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Climate | Yes | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Revolution | Yes | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 22%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | Yes | 19%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Facebook / Meta | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Supreme Court | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 48%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | No | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26FEB21 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP