Bernie Sanders: Interview, Apr 14, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during All in with Chris Hayes?
Markets
15 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 47%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | Yes | 45%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | Yes | 33%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 31%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 67%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | 67%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 47%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 45%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 45%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 2+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pope / Jesus | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bipartisan | No | 33%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 24%n=12 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26APR14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP