Bernie Sanders: Rally, Jun 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during his Brooklyn Rally?
Markets
20 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 83%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 80%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Billionaire 3+ times | Yes | 79%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 76%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Childcare | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 57%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 49%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | 46%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Tuition | Yes | 44%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | 29%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 69%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 59%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Zillionaire | No | 57%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Social Security | No | 54%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Trillionaire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | No | 52%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | 36%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 30%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | No | 28%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26JUN18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP