Bernie Sanders: Speech, Sep 1, 2025
Polymarket What will Bernie Sanders say during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire 7+ times | Yes | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk 4+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gaza | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| One Percent 4+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greed 2+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Putin | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Critical Thinking | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 16+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 15+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rigged | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AIPAC | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corruption | No | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-bernie-sanders-say-during-fighting-oligarchy-speech-on-september-1 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP