Bernie Sanders: Episode, Aug 2, 2026
Kalshi What will Bernie say during Meet the Press?
Markets
18 words · 10 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | Yes | 78%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | 76%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Netanyahu | Yes | 73%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 70%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Election | Yes | 67%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 67%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 67%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 60%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Socialist / Socialism | Yes | 42%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Graham / Platner | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 65%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 53%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Bernie | No | 39%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 33%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Trillionaire | No | 27%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | No | 26%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | No | 20%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| ChatGPT / OpenAI | No | 19%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXBERNIEMENTION-26AUG02 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP