Bernie Sanders: Interview, Oct 15, 2025
Polymarket What will Bernie Sanders say during CNN town hall on October 15?
Markets
20 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu | Yes | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Gaza | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 12+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Vermont | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Medicaid | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billionaire Friends | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Health Care 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working Class 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| ICE | Yes | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Veteran | No | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| God | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Bernie | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Musk / Zuckerberg / Bezos 7+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Venezuela | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Racism / Sexism | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-bernie-sanders-say-during-cnn-town-hall-on-october-15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP