Will Bernie Sanders say “Republican”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Republican” at 8 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (57%), most recently on May 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

57%from settlement history only · n=14counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=republican

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Republican

Probability
57% · n=14
Settled
8/14 (57%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 3, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
May 2, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
May 1, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Apr 20, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Apr 14, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Apr 12, 2026RepublicanPolymarketNo
Apr 12, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Mar 29, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Mar 28, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Mar 10, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Mar 5, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Feb 19, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes
Feb 11, 2026RepublicanKalshiNo
Jan 21, 2026RepublicanKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Republican”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Republican” at 8 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 21, 2026 (57%), most recently on May 3, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Republican” next time?
57%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP