Will Bernie Sanders say “Medicare / Medicaid”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Medicare / Medicaid” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 3, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 70% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Bernie Sanders
Medicare / Medicaid
- Probability
- 70% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | Medicare / Medicaid |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Medicare / Medicaid | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Medicare / Medicaid | Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Medicare / Medicaid | Kalshi | Yes |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Medicaid / Medicare | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Medicare / Medicaid”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Medicare / Medicaid” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 3, 2025.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Medicare / Medicaid” next time?
- 70%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Medicare / Medicaid’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/medicaid-or-medicare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=medicaid%20%2F%20medicare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP