Will Bernie Sanders say “Vermont / Vermonter”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Vermont / Vermonter” at 7 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 3, 2026 (88%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

71%from settlement history only · n=8counts: named speaker only
Last 10
7/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=vermont%20%2F%20vermonter

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Vermont / Vermonter

Probability
71% · n=8
Settled
7/8 (88%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 20, 2026Vermont / VermonterKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026Vermont / VermonterKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026Vermont / VermonterKalshiNo
Jul 18, 2026Vermont / VermonterKalshiYes
Jun 27, 2026Vermont / VermonterKalshiYes
May 25, 2026Vermont / VermonterKalshiYes
May 24, 2026Vermont / VermonterKalshiYes
May 3, 2026Vermont / VermonterKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Vermont / Vermonter”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Vermont / Vermonter” at 7 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 3, 2026 (88%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Vermont / Vermonter” next time?
71%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Vermont / Vermonter’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/vermont-or-vermonter (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=vermont%20%2F%20vermonter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP