Will Bernie Sanders say “ICE”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “ICE” at 5 of 21 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (24%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=21, from settlement history), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history only · n=21counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=ice

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

ICE

Probability
28% · n=21
Settled
5/21 (24%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 21 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 29, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Aug 3, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Aug 2, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Jul 26, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Jul 20, 2026ICEKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Jul 19, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Jul 18, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Jun 27, 2026ICEKalshiYes
Jun 18, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Apr 12, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Mar 29, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Mar 28, 2026ICEKalshiYes
Jan 2, 2026ICEKalshiNo
Dec 5, 2025ICEKalshiNo
Oct 27, 2025ICEKalshiNo
Oct 26, 2025ICEPolymarketNo
Oct 16, 2025ICEKalshiYes
Oct 15, 2025ICEPolymarketYes
Sep 1, 2025ICEPolymarketNo
Aug 8, 2025ICEPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “ICE”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “ICE” at 5 of 21 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (24%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “ICE” next time?
28%, from settlement history (n=21). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘ICE’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/ice (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP