Will Bernie Sanders say “Midterm”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Midterm” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

53%from settlement history only · n=8Next: Rally, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=midterm

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Midterm

Probability
53% · n=8
Settled
4/8 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2026MidtermKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2026MidtermKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026MidtermKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026MidtermKalshiYes
Oct 18, 2026MidtermKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026MidtermKalshiNo
Oct 17, 2026MidtermKalshiNo
Oct 3, 2026MidtermKalshiYes
Oct 16, 2025MidtermKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Midterm”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Midterm” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 19, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Midterm” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Midterm’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/midterm (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=midterm · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP