Will Bernie Sanders say “Trump” 5+ times?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Trump” 5+ times at 10 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 24, 2026 (62%), most recently on Oct 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=16, from settlement history), not a forecast.

57%from settlement history only · n=16Next: Rally, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
99¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Trump (5+ times)

Probability
57% · n=16
Settled
10/16 (62%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 18 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 25, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Oct 24, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Oct 20, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiNo
Oct 19, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Oct 18, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiNo
Oct 17, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Oct 5, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Oct 4, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Oct 3, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiYes
Jul 20, 2026Trump 5+ timesPolymarketNo
Jul 20, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiNo
Jul 19, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiNo
Jul 19, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiNo
Jul 18, 2026Trump (5+ times)KalshiNo
May 24, 2026Trump 5+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Trump (5+ times)”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Trump” 5+ times at 10 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 24, 2026 (62%), most recently on Oct 25, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Trump (5+ times)” next time?
57%, from settlement history (n=16). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Trump (5+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP