Will Bernie Sanders say “ICE / National Guard”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “ICE / National Guard” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 20, 2026 (71%), most recently on Feb 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

62%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=ice%20%2F%20national%20guard

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

ICE / National Guard

Probability
62% · n=7
Settled
5/7 (71%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 21, 2026ICE / National GuardKalshiYes
Feb 19, 2026ICE / National GuardKalshiYes
Feb 14, 2026ICE / National GuardKalshiYes
Feb 13, 2026ICE / National GuardKalshiNo
Feb 11, 2026ICE / National GuardKalshiNo
Jan 21, 2026ICE / National GuardKalshiYes
Jan 20, 2026ICE / National GuardKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “ICE / National Guard”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “ICE / National Guard” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 20, 2026 (71%), most recently on Feb 21, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “ICE / National Guard” next time?
62%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘ICE / National Guard’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/ice-or-national-guard (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=ice%20%2F%20national%20guard · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP