Will Bernie Sanders say “Tax Break”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Tax Break” at 9 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 85% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

85%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
9/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 9 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=tax%20break

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Tax Break

Probability
85% · n=9
Settled
9/9 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026Tax BreakKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes
Oct 18, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes
Oct 5, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes
Oct 4, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes
Oct 3, 2026Tax BreakKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Tax Break”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Tax Break” at 9 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 3, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Tax Break” next time?
85%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Tax Break’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/tax-break (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=tax%20break · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP