Will Bernie Sanders say “Israel / Netanyahu”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Israel / Netanyahu” at 13 of 19 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 18, 2026 (68%), most recently on Oct 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=19, from settlement history), not a forecast.

60%from settlement history only · n=19Next: Remarks, Oct 26, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no yes no yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
57¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=israel%20%2F%20netanyahu

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Israel / Netanyahu

Probability
60% · n=19
Settled
13/19 (68%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 21 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 25, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiNo
Oct 25, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Oct 24, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Oct 20, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiNo
Oct 18, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Oct 5, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiNo
Oct 4, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Oct 3, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiNo
Aug 3, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiNo
Aug 2, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Jul 26, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Jul 20, 2026Israel / NetanyahuPolymarketYes
Jul 20, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes
Jul 18, 2026Israel / NetanyahuKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Israel / Netanyahu”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Israel / Netanyahu” at 13 of 19 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 18, 2026 (68%), most recently on Oct 25, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Israel / Netanyahu” next time?
60%, from settlement history (n=19). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Israel / Netanyahu’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/israel-or-netanyahu (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=israel%20%2F%20netanyahu · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP