Will Bernie Sanders say “Social Security”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Social Security” at 11 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2025 (41%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=27, from settlement history), not a forecast.

39%from settlement history only · n=27Next: Rally, Oct 25, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
56¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=social%20security

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Social Security

Probability
39% · n=27
Settled
11/27 (41%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 28 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2026Social SecurityKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Oct 18, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
Oct 5, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Oct 4, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Oct 3, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Aug 29, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
Aug 28, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Jul 20, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Jul 19, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Jul 18, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Jun 18, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Jun 8, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
May 25, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
May 24, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
Mar 28, 2026Social SecurityPolymarketYes
Mar 10, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Feb 21, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
Feb 19, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Feb 14, 2026Social SecurityKalshiYes
Feb 13, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Jan 20, 2026Social SecurityKalshiNo
Aug 22, 2025Social SecurityKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Social Security”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Social Security” at 11 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2025 (41%), most recently on Oct 18, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Social Security” next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=27). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Social Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/social-security (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=social%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP