Will Bernie Sanders say “Climate”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Climate” at 20 of 34 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (59%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=34, from settlement history), not a forecast.

61%from settlement history only · n=34Next: Rally, Oct 24, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes yes yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Market
75¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=climate

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Climate

Probability
61% · n=34
Settled
20/34 (59%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 37 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Oct 19, 2026ClimateKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Oct 18, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Oct 5, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Oct 4, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Oct 3, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Aug 29, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Jul 20, 2026ClimatePolymarketYes
Jul 20, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Jul 19, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Jul 18, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Jun 27, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Jun 8, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
May 25, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
May 24, 2026ClimatePolymarketYes
May 24, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
May 3, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
May 2, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
May 1, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Apr 20, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Apr 12, 2026ClimatePolymarketNo
Apr 12, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Mar 29, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Mar 28, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Mar 5, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Feb 21, 2026ClimateKalshiYes
Feb 19, 2026ClimateKalshiNo
Aug 22, 2025ClimateKalshiNo
Aug 8, 2025ClimateKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Climate”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Climate” at 20 of 34 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (59%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Climate” next time?
61%, from settlement history (n=34). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Climate’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/climate (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=climate · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP