Will Bernie Sanders say “Tariff”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Bernie Sanders did not say “Tariff” at any of the 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

20%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 9 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=tariff

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Tariff

Probability
20% · n=9
Settled
0/9 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his town hall in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his remarks in Alpena, Michigan? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 20, 2026TariffPolymarketNo
May 24, 2026TariffPolymarketNo
Apr 12, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Mar 29, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Mar 28, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Feb 21, 2026TariffKalshiNo
Aug 22, 2025TariffKalshiNo
Aug 8, 2025TariffPolymarketNo
Aug 8, 2025TariffKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Bernie Sanders did not say “Tariff” at any of the 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Tariff” next time?
20%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP