Will Bernie Sanders say “Iran / Iranian”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Iran / Iranian” at 14 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (93%), most recently on Oct 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

78%from settlement history only · n=15Next: Remarks, Oct 26, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
72¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Iran / Iranian

Probability
78% · n=15
Settled
14/15 (93%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled yes

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 16 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 25, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Oct 25, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Oct 24, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Oct 20, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Oct 18, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
May 25, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
May 24, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
May 3, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
May 2, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
May 1, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes
Apr 20, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026Iran / IranianKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Iran / Iranian”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Iran / Iranian” at 14 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (93%), most recently on Oct 25, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
78%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP