Will Bernie Sanders say “Authoritarian / Authoritarianism”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Authoritarian / Authoritarianism” at 8 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 20, 2026 (89%), most recently on May 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

72%from settlement history only · n=9counts: named speaker only
Last 10
8/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=authoritarian%20%2F%20authoritarianism

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Authoritarian / Authoritarianism

Probability
72% · n=9
Settled
8/9 (89%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 3, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismPolymarketYes
May 3, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismKalshiYes
May 2, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismKalshiYes
May 1, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026Authoritarian/ AuthoritarianismKalshiYes
Feb 21, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismKalshiYes
Feb 19, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismKalshiYes
Feb 14, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismKalshiYes
Feb 13, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismKalshiNo
Jan 20, 2026Authoritarian / AuthoritarianismKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Authoritarian / Authoritarianism”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Authoritarian / Authoritarianism” at 8 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jan 20, 2026 (89%), most recently on May 3, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Authoritarian / Authoritarianism” next time?
72%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Authoritarian / Authoritarianism’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/authoritarian-or-authoritarianism (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=authoritarian%20%2F%20authoritarianism · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP