Will Bernie Sanders say “Nuclear”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Nuclear” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 12, 2026 (14%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

26%from settlement history only · n=7counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Nuclear

Probability
26% · n=7
Settled
1/7 (14%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · settled no

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 5, 2026NuclearKalshiNo
Oct 4, 2026NuclearKalshiNo
Oct 3, 2026NuclearKalshiNo
May 25, 2026NuclearPolymarketNo
May 24, 2026NuclearPolymarketNo
Apr 29, 2026NuclearKalshiYes
Apr 12, 2026NuclearPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Nuclear”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Nuclear” at 1 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 12, 2026 (14%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Nuclear” next time?
26%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP