Will Bernie Sanders say “Israel / Israeli”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Israel / Israeli” at 7 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 28, 2026 (58%), most recently on Jun 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

51%from settlement history only · n=12counts: named speaker only
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Israel / Israeli

Probability
51% · n=12
Settled
7/12 (58%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 18, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Jun 8, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes
May 25, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
May 24, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
May 3, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes
May 2, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes
May 1, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes
Apr 20, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes
Apr 14, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes
Apr 12, 2026Israel / IsraeliPolymarketNo
Apr 12, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Mar 28, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Israel / Israeli”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Israel / Israeli” at 7 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 28, 2026 (58%), most recently on Jun 8, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Israel / Israeli” next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP