Will Bernie Sanders say “Zohran / Mamdani”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Zohran / Mamdani” at 17 of 28 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (61%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=28, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 9 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 25¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceBernie Sanders
Zohran / Mamdani
- Probability
- 44% · n=28
- Settled
- 17/28 (61%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 30 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Void (did not qualify) | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | No | |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| May 25, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| May 25, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| May 24, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| May 1, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Oct 15, 2025 | Zohran / Mamdani | Yes | |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Zohran / Mamdani | No |
Questions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Zohran / Mamdani”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Zohran / Mamdani” at 17 of 28 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (61%), most recently on Oct 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Zohran / Mamdani” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=28). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Zohran / Mamdani’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/mamdani-or-zohran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=mamdani%20%2F%20zohran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP