Will Bernie Sanders say “Election”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Election” at 12 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (80%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

75%from settlement history only · n=15counts: named speaker only
Last 10
9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 9 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=election

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Election

Probability
75% · n=15
Settled
12/15 (80%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 17 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 28, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Aug 3, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Aug 2, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Jul 26, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Jul 20, 2026ElectionPolymarketYes
Jul 20, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Jun 8, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
May 3, 2026ElectionPolymarketYes
May 3, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
May 2, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
May 1, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Apr 14, 2026ElectionKalshiNo
Apr 12, 2026ElectionPolymarketYes
Apr 12, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Mar 29, 2026ElectionKalshiNo
Mar 28, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Feb 11, 2026ElectionKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Election”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Election” at 12 of 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (80%), most recently on Aug 28, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Election” next time?
75%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/election (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP