Will Bernie Sanders say “Paycheck to Paycheck”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Paycheck to Paycheck” at 15 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (83%), most recently on May 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.

78%from settlement history only · n=18counts: named speaker only
Last 10
9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 7 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Paycheck to Paycheck

Probability
78% · n=18
Settled
15/18 (83%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 19 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 25, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
May 24, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
May 3, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
May 2, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
May 1, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Mar 28, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Mar 5, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiNo
Feb 19, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Feb 14, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Feb 13, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckPolymarketYes
Feb 13, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiNo
Jan 21, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiNo
Jan 20, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Jan 2, 2026Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Dec 5, 2025Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Dec 3, 2025Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiNo
Oct 27, 2025Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes
Oct 16, 2025Paycheck to PaycheckKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Paycheck to Paycheck”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Paycheck to Paycheck” at 15 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (83%), most recently on May 25, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Paycheck to Paycheck” next time?
78%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Paycheck to Paycheck’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/paycheck-to-paycheck (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=paycheck%20to%20paycheck · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP