Will Bernie Sanders say “Paycheck to Paycheck”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Paycheck to Paycheck” at 15 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (83%), most recently on May 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 7 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceBernie Sanders
Paycheck to Paycheck
- Probability
- 78% · n=18
- Settled
- 15/18 (83%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 19 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| May 24, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| May 3, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| May 2, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| May 1, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | No | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | No | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | No | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Paycheck to Paycheck | No | |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Paycheck to Paycheck | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Paycheck to Paycheck”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Paycheck to Paycheck” at 15 of 18 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (83%), most recently on May 25, 2026.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Paycheck to Paycheck” next time?
- 78%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Paycheck to Paycheck’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/paycheck-to-paycheck (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=paycheck%20to%20paycheck · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP