Will Bernie Sanders say “Iran”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Iran” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (36%), most recently on May 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

50%from settlement history only · n=11Next: Rally, Oct 24, 2026 · counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Market
99¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=iran

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Iran

Probability
50% · n=11
Settled
4/11 (36%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally in Los Angeles? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Fighting Oligarchy rally? · not listed

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What will Bernie say during his Ballots Over Billionaires Rally? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 25, 2026IranPolymarketYes
May 24, 2026IranPolymarketYes
May 3, 2026IranPolymarketYes
Apr 29, 2026IranKalshiNo
Apr 12, 2026IranPolymarketNo
Apr 12, 2026IranKalshiNo
Mar 29, 2026IranKalshiNo
Mar 28, 2026IranPolymarketYes
Mar 28, 2026IranKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026IranKalshiNo
Mar 10, 2026IranKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026IranKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Iran”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Iran” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 5, 2026 (36%), most recently on May 25, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Iran” next time?
50%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP