Will Donald Trump say “Golf / Golfer”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Golf / Golfer” at 6 of 12 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 13, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no no yes no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Golf / Golfer
- Probability
- 42% · n=12
- Settled
- 6/12 (50%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…had it. I've had it. I can't do it anymore. What you've done here, I cannot do oceans, sir. I could do a golf barely.
…Barack Hussein Obama would fly to Hawaii to play a round of golf in a 747 spewing old one 35 years. We have a new…
President Trump, you own a lot of golf courses.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 12 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Golf / Golfer |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Feb 18, 2026 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| May 13, 2025 | Golf / Golfer | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Golf / Golfer”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Golf / Golfer” at 6 of 12 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 13, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Golf / Golfer” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Golf / Golfer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/golf-or-golfer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=golf%20%2F%20golfer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP