Will Donald Trump say “Bully”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bully” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Bully
- Probability
- 48% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 2 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…and chaos across the entire Middle East and beyond. They were the bully of the Middle East, but they are the bully no more. From…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Bully”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Bully” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 22, 2026 (33%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Bully” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Bully’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bully (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bully · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP