Will Donald Trump say “Saudi”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Saudi” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 13, 2025 (71%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Saudi
- Probability
- 49% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 2 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the fact is, you know, we have more oil than Russia and Saudi Arabia combined. If and if you go back eight or nine years,…
…coming down fast. We have right and the United States without Venezuela, not including the United States has more oil than Saudi Arabia and Russia
…of Morocco, Bahrain. These are the countries that gave Qatar, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Uzbekistan, and many more. That money goes right to the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Saudi |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 13, 2025 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 13, 2025 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Saudi”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Saudi” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 13, 2025 (71%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Saudi” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Saudi’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/saudi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=saudi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP