Will Donald Trump say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 11 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 15, 2025 (48%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=23, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Terrorist / Terrorism
- Probability
- 53% · n=23
- Settled
- 11/23 (48%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 2 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…mark the third anniversary of the October 7th attack in Israel, where terrorists funded by Iran tortured, mutilated and killed 1200 very innocent civilians, including…
Every settled listing
newest first · 24 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| May 19, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 5, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Terrorist / Terrorism |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Terrorist / Terrorism”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Terrorist / Terrorism” at 11 of 23 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Sep 15, 2025 (48%), most recently on Sep 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Terrorist / Terrorism” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=23). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP